Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 10.093210 11.796511 13.656601 15.833097 18.304051 21.016065 24.211699
2025-12-07 7.527104 9.917505 12.798652 16.498376 21.091445 26.572214 33.569593
2025-12-14 5.641262 8.204827 11.552289 16.178898 22.332710 30.153206 40.746056
2025-12-21 4.363309 6.918433 10.493239 15.750436 23.153273 33.054464 47.114106
2025-12-28 3.776411 6.438845 10.383619 16.486448 25.482612 38.011286 56.470098
2026-01-04 3.260219 5.947808 10.145962 16.946524 27.390484 42.464584 65.401255
2026-01-11 2.767678 5.392054 9.705026 17.002802 28.648125 46.020757 73.246836
2026-01-18 2.369327 4.915319 9.305589 17.042886 29.834039 49.500608 81.156558
2026-01-25 1.971611 4.361227 8.687055 16.626882 30.218720 51.741212 87.292834
2026-02-01 1.647941 3.882566 8.123721 16.217987 30.540966 53.858737 93.317819
2026-02-08 1.349853 3.394108 7.465916 15.548953 30.332563 55.068630 97.931498
2026-02-15 1.122885 3.008260 6.942604 15.051103 30.350256 56.612224 103.129997
2026-02-22 1.022233 2.900794 6.988354 15.697791 32.586893 62.232277 115.752414
2026-03-01 0.917683 2.766356 6.967742 16.231651 34.704354 67.869694 128.901881
2026-03-08 0.762457 2.467694 6.544169 15.893457 35.137662 70.579362 137.215390
2026-03-15 0.628538 2.187667 6.110365 15.467323 35.340450 72.864322 144.902741
2026-03-22 0.581168 2.137046 6.204061 16.191063 37.894888 79.625115 160.956705
2026-03-29 0.524665 2.044575 6.179632 16.643841 39.927753 85.532840 175.790216
2026-04-05 0.457089 1.898482 5.994049 16.699217 41.126531 89.919504 188.060579
2026-04-12 0.398347 1.763525 5.813006 16.738675 42.286298 94.292881 200.534850
2026-04-19 0.332247 1.581063 5.467912 16.329123 42.416272 96.628119 209.254384
2026-04-26 0.276909 1.417947 5.144673 15.926593 42.513968 98.887654 217.931557
2026-05-03 0.223750 1.241936 4.745886 15.268018 41.950445 99.738426 223.875404